Currency news / May 9, 2025

Pound up on diminished rate cut expectations

3 min readThanim IslamThanim IslamMay 9, 2025

Market snapshot:

  • GBPEUR hits 1-month highs on BoE
  • Dollar gains ahead of key US-China talks

Yesterday's currency recap

GBP enjoyed a good run yesterday, following a surprise from the BoE interest rate decision where two members voted to hold interest rates. The other seven elected to cut rates, with two members voting for a 0.50% rate cut.

The bank cut rates by 0.25% as was widely expected. This hawkish surprise now sees markets only pricing-in two further rate cuts by the BoE by the end of the year.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pairDaily move*Indicative rate**
GBPAUD0.13%2.0717
GBPCAD0.47%1.8481
GBPCHF0.58%1.1012
GBPDKK0.42%8.8123
GBPEUR0.42%1.1811
GBPJPY1.00%193.254
GBPNOK0.38%13.8125
GBPNZD0.30%2.2444
GBPSEK0.30%12.8955
GBPUSD-0.07%1.3283

*Daily move - against G10 rates at 7:00 am, 09.05.25
** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:00 am, 09.05.25

What we think

The dollar has started the day strong ahead of key US-China trade talks this weekend. Reports suggest that the US is aiming to cut China tariffs to less than 60%, should talks go well. It is worth noting that both GBPUSD and EURUSD have fallen through some key support levels, suggesting there could be further downsides, but of course we will need the fundamental story to support this. So, any positive talks from the weekend could well be the catalyst for further dollar gains.

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