Currency news

Clean sweep

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Published:
November 14, 2024
  • USD: Continues gains
  • GBP: Rachel Reeves and Andrew Bailey Speaking at Mansion House


Yesterday's currency recap

USD was buoyed by another day of gains following relatively hawkish Fed speak, which cited rising inflation risks and hinted at cautiousness on the pace of future cuts. The Republicans have also claimed the House overnight, unifying the Trump administration’s control of the elected branches of government. CPI numbers earlier in the afternoon came in bang in line with expectations.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD 0.00% 1.9597
GBPCAD -0.18% 1.7757
GBPCHF -0.10% 1.1255
GBPDKK -0.10% 8.9688
GBPEUR -0.10% 1.2024
GBPJPY 0.04% 197.6670
GBPNOK -0.15% 14.1348
GBPNZD -0.07% 2.1627
GBPSEK -0.17% 13.9358
GBPUSD -0.50% 1.2687


*Daily move - against
G10 rates at 7:30am, 14.11.24

** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 14.11.24

Key data points

Currency Event Period Consensus Previous
EUR GDP QoQ 3Q Prelim 0.40% 0.40%
EUR GDP YoY 3Q Prelim 0.90% 0.90%
USD PPI MoM Oct 0.20% 0.00%
USD PPI YoY Oct 2.30% 1.80%
USD Initial Jobless Claims Nov 9 220,000 221,000

Upcoming speeches

  • GBP: Chancellor Rachel Reeves & Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey (9pm GMT)
  • USD: Federal Reserve's Barkin & Powell (8pm GMT)

What we think

GBP focus today will fall on Rachel Reeves's and Governor Bailey's speeches in Mansion House. USD positioning is looking a bit stretched at the moment suggesting that a dollar correction could be on the cards. However, this won't do anything to take away from the medium-to-longer term support for USD. Any correction seen on USD pairs should be seen as an opportunity for dollar buyers to take some cover by hedging against the long-term bullish-ness on the greenback.

Data-wise, we have first estimates of GDP for the eurozone for the third quarter estimated to come in at 0.4%. PPI and jobless claims are due stateside.

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