Currency news

Pre-election jitters hit markets

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Published:
October 22, 2024
  • USD continues to push on ahead of elections
  • BoE Governor set to speak today


Yesterday's currency recap

USD extended gains further as stocks dropped and political jitters ahead of the upcoming elections pushed treasury yields higher.

Fed speakers Logan, Kashkari and Schmid all struck a cautious tone on the pace of future rate cuts also supporting USD.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD 0.20% 1.9504
GBPCAD -0.15% 1.7980
GBPCHF -0.40% 1.1241
GBPDKK -0.12% 8.9475
GBPEUR -0.12% 1.1999
GBPJPY 0.10% 195.3860
GBPNOK -0.10% 14.2411
GBPNZD 0.13% 2.1528
GBPSEK -0.14% 13.7128
GBPUSD -0.52% 1.2985


*Daily move - against
G10 rates at 7:30am, 22.10.24

** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 22.10.24

Upcoming speeches

  • EUR: ECB Centeno, Knot, Holzmann, Villeroy, Rehn, Lagarde
  • GBP: BoE Bailey, Greene

What we think

We are expecting to hear from a substantial number of speakers from the ECB and BoE today, however primary focus is going to be on Governor Bailey's speech at 2.25pm - his first of four upcoming speeches this week. As mentioned yesterday, any dovish tones from the governor will likely put pressure on GBP as markets could add to BoE rate cut bets.

Goldman Sachs is projecting that interest rates will fall to 2.75% by next Autumn - a stark contrast to markets' forecast of 3.75% for the same period. Nonetheless, both forecasts illustrates the point that markets are underestimating the extent of rate cuts the BoE could implement.

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