USD remained under pressure, extending its slide as weak macro data and continued Fed member talk flagged job market worries, seeing markets continue to price-in a 40% chance of three rate cuts this year.
Ahead of today’s BoE meeting, and amid full pricing for a 25 bp rate cut, GBP held firm, even as divisions over a potential 50bp move persist.
EUR traded steady with the currency supported by optimism over potential Ukraine peace talks.
CHF outperformed as negotiations continued to avert US tariffs.
*Daily move - against G10 rates at 7:00 am, 07.08.25
** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:00 am, 07.08.25
Today's Bank of England meeting is widely expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut, taking the base rate to 4.00%, as the MPC responds to a weakening labour market and persistent signs of slowing growth. Inflation remains sticky, particularly in services, which limits the scope for more aggressive easing, and the vote split will be closely watched for signs of division over the pace of cuts. Markets are fully priced for today's move, so the bigger driver for GBP will be the bank’s updated forecasts and guidance on the path ahead - any hint of a faster cutting cycle could weigh further on GBP, while a cautious tone could offer some support.
Read more about the Bank of England's interest rate decision here:
Our team of currency experts are here to help you get more from your money when making international payments. We will work with you to understand your payment needs and offer specialised guidance on the best options available to you. Over the last 19 years we’ve helped over a million customers and last year alone processed over £12bn. We’re tried and trusted, and we’re ready to help you.
Have a great day.
