Currency news

Warsh the frontrunner for Fed Chair

Head of FX Analysis
-
3
min read
Published:
January 30, 2026

Key takeaways

  • Trump set to announce his pick today


Yesterday's currency recap

USD rebounded modestly as a sharp selloff in precious metals and broader commodity weakness dragged on FX, with AUD and NZD leading G10 losses. The moves were exacerbated by month-end flows and position unwinds after the recent USD selloff went too far.

Elsewhere, EUR and GBP edged lower, while USDJPY slipped slightly, leaving the broader move looking more like a corrective bounce in the greenback than a shift in trend.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD 0.18% 1.9658
GBPCAD -0.40% 1.8649
GBPCHF -0.23% 1.0585
GBPDKK -0.02% 8.6234
GBPEUR -0.02% 1.1548
GBPJPY -0.42% 210.954
GBPNOK -0.52% 13.1872
GBPNZD -0.01% 2.2776
GBPSEK -0.20% 12.1841
GBPUSD -0.10% 1.3799


*Daily move - against
G10 rates as of 17:00 GMT, 29.01.26

** Indicative rates - interbank rates as of 17:00 GMT, 29.01.26

Key data points

Currency Event Period Consensus Previous
EUR GDP QoQ Q4 0.20% 0.30%
EUR GDP YoY Q4 1.30% 1.40%
EUR German CPI MoM Jan 0.00% 0.00%
EUR German CPI YoY Jan 1.90% 1.80%
USD PPI MoM Dec 0.20% 0.20%
USD PPI YoY Dec 2.80% 3.00%

What we think

USD remains supported this morning as markets priced a rising probability that former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh will be nominated as the next Fed Chair. Kevin Warsh’s hawkish track record pushed treasury yields and USD higher.

Eurozone data is expected to show a mild slowdown in momentum, with Q4 GDP seen easing to 1.3% YoY, while German inflation is forecast to remain subdued, flat on the month and only slightly higher at 1.9% YoY.

In the US, producer price inflation is expected to stay contained, with PPI unchanged at 0.2% MoM and easing to 2.8% YoY, reinforcing the view that upstream price pressures continue to cool gradually.

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