Currency news

GBP supported on job numbers

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Publish date
10/09/24
  • Strong UK job numbers bolster the possibility of a November rate cut
  • FX volatility to follow presidential debate?


Yesterday's currency recap

The USD continued its upward trajectory yesterday, bolstered by rising US Treasury yields, as the market grows increasingly comfortable with the prospect of a modest 0.25% rate cut by the Fed next week. However, should Wednesday’s CPI numbers suggest a larger rate cut would be warranted, this could all change.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD -0.11% 1.9663
GBPCAD -0.40% 1.7737
GBPCHF 0.14% 1.1085
GBPDKK 0.01% 8.8374
GBPEUR 0.01% 1.1843
GBPJPY -0.03% 186.8350
GBPNOK 0.82% 14.1843
GBPNZD 0.20% 2.1295
GBPSEK 0.37% 13.5711
GBPUSD -0.40% 1.3076


*Daily move - against
G10 rates at 7:30am, 10.09.24

** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 10.09.24

What we think

UK wage growth cooled to a two-year low in the three months leading up to August. Over the same period, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, cementing market pricing that we will see another rate cut in the UK in November.

Wages excluding bonuses fell to 5.1%. Wages including bonuses fell to 4%. As a consequence, GBP has seen an uptick across various markets.

Very few developments are expected for the rest of the day and therefore the focus will turn towards the highly anticipated presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the early hours of tomorrow morning (UK time).

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