The dollar suffered a sell-off in the afternoon, after the Dallas Fed manufacturing index fell to its lowest level since May 2020. Thirty percent of the firm's surveyed reported declining new orders, and, to no surprise, citing the uncertainty of Trump's tariffs on the outlook for their business.
Sterling, in general, performed pretty solidly throughout the day, seeing GBPEUR hit its highest levels since 7th April.
*Daily move - against G10 rates at 7:30am, 29.04.25
** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 29.04.25
US JOLTS job numbers are the focus today and, really, we’ll need the numbers to suggest the job market remains strong to alleviate the pressure on the dollar. Late into the evening, the currency dropped further, as US-China tariff talks appeared to be at a standstill after Bessent’s comments suggested that China must make the first move in de-escalating trade tensions. The dollar is trying to gain this morning, after Trump announced he will lift some levies on foreign car parts and give imported cars a relief from separate tariffs on aluminium and steel.
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