- US economy “booming” – Jamie Dimon
- Markets calm before deluge of data
Yesterday's currency recap
Very little moves yesterday in what feels like the calm before the storm prior to the deluge of data due out from Wednesday onwards.
JPY was the worst performing amongst the G10 following the election results over the weekend.
Ahead of US job numbers this week, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon suggested that the US economy is “still booming” and that inflation might not decrease as anticipated when the economy eventually cools. This scenario introduces the potential for stagflation and aligns with recent market trends, which suggest fewer rate cuts in the Fed's easing cycle.
Today's GBP rates
*Daily move - against G10 rates at 7:30am, 29.10.24
** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 29.10.24
Key data points
What we think
First set of US job numbers is out later today. The JOLTS numbers are expected to decline marginally compared to last month. Anything higher and we could well see markets reduce the odds of another Federal Reserve rate cut in December which would continue to support USD.
Otherwise it could be another quiet day before things kick off tomorrow with EU and US GDP numbers, German CPI numbers, ADP payrolls, and of course the Autumn budget.
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