Currency news

USD softens on Trump talk

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Published:
January 24, 2025
  • Trump pushes for rate cuts and softens tariff threat on China
  • EUR gaining as markets trim rate cut expectations


Yesterday's currency recap

Yesterday, Donald Trump captured the market's attention with two main points.

Firstly, he announced his plan to engage in discussions with Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, advocating for interest rate reductions to alleviate the financial burden on American households.

And secondly, he told Fox News that his preference is to not have to impose tariffs on China, stating that he already has had “good, friendly” talks with Xi Ping. The softening of USD is continuing as a result.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD 0.10% 1.9648
GBPCAD 0.14% 1.7730
GBPCHF 0.36% 1.1207
GBPDKK 0.18% 8.8433
GBPEUR 0.18% 1.1853
GBPJPY -0.02% 192.7320
GBPNOK 0.18% 13.9162
GBPNZD 0.10% 2.1763
GBPSEK 0.24% 13.5876
GBPUSD 0.20% 1.2351


*Daily move - against
G10 rates at 7:30am, 24.01.25

** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 24.01.25

Key data points

Currency Event Period Consensus Previous
EUR Manufacturing PMI Jan 45.40 45.10
EUR Services PMI Jan 51.50 51.60
EUR Composite PMI Jan 49.70 49.60
GBP Manufacturing PMI Jan 47.00 47.00
GBP Services PMI Jan 50.80 51.10
GBP Composite PMI Jan 50.10 50.40
USD Manufacturing PMI Jan 49.85 49.40
USD Services PMI Jan 56.50 56.80
USD Composite PMI Jan 55.60 55.40

What we think

The EUR is finishing the week on a high note with the release of EU and German PMIs coming in stronger than expected.

Whilst markets are widely expecting a 25bp rate cut in next week's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting there are whispers that, due to inflation concerns resurfacing, markets may well start to trim rate cut expectations. In addition, an improved economic outlook will further strengthen expectations for a trim in rate cut forecasts.

UK and US PMIs are out today but the overriding theme seems likely be a continued softening of USD in light of Trump's comments last night.

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