So, where do we start - yesterday's market was a rollercoaster ride. Stocks continued to dip throughout the day, only catching a bit of support after 4pm.
USD, on average, was 1% lower versus all G10 currencies due to stagflation fears. The biggest benefactors of yesterday's chaos were CHF and JPY, attracting safe haven flows.
EUR gained on talks of countermeasures from the EU, with trade chief Maros Sefcovic commenting that the EU will look to diversify trade partnerships around the world.
Initial GBP gains were erased, as the market swiftly adjusted to anticipate further rate cuts from the BoE by year's end.
*Daily move - against G10 rates at 7:30am, 04.04.25
** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 04.04.25
Markets are still in danger of a risk-off mood, with both JPY and CHF on the front foot this morning. USD is also trying to get some support, with both GBPUSD and EURUSD falling off of yesterday’s highs. But, given the market is in a USD selling mood, a miss on the job numbers this afternoon could well take us back to yesterday's highs.
Today, Fed Chair Powell takes the stage, and with the market anticipating further rate cuts due to economic growth worries, his comments on tariffs should be interesting.
Suffice it to say, we expect another volatile day, and we suggest clients stay nimble to new developments on trade talks, given Donald Trump openly commented overnight that he is open to reducing tariffs.
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